SAN FRANCISCO: Older drivers may soon be
traveling a safer road thanks to smarter cars that can detect oncoming
traffic, steer clear of trouble and even hit the brakes when a collision
appears imminent.
A few of these innovations, such as
blind-spot warning systems, are already built in or offered as optional
features in some vehicles, primarily in more expensive models.
But
more revolutionary breakthroughs are expected in the next few years,
when measures such as robotic braking systems are supposed to become
standard features in all cars on U.S. roads.
Better
technology, of course, can help prevent drivers of all ages from getting
into accidents. But those in their 70s and older are more likely to
become confused at heavily trafficked intersections and on-ramps.
Aging
also frequently limits a body's range of motion, making it more
difficult to scan all around for nearby vehicles and other hazards. And
older drivers tend to be more fragile than their younger counterparts,
suffering more serious injuries in traffic accidents.
"Anything
that reduces the likelihood or severity of a collision is really a
technology that is primed for helping tomorrow's older adults," says
Bryan Reimer, research scientist for the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology's AgeLab and associate director of the New England University
Transportation Center.
"We are moving toward an
ecosystem where older adults will increasingly be supported by the
technology that may help enhance their mobility."
Automakers
are rolling out more technology just as the first members of the
culture-shifting Baby Boom generation turn 70 this year. By 2030, the US
Census Bureau expects there will be nearly 54 million people who are 70
or older living in the country, up from about 31 million in 2014.
About
80 percent of that group is expected to be licensed to drive, based on
current trends, and that ratio could rise even higher if technology lets
elderly people remain behind the wheel and preserve a sense of
independence longer.
The presence of safety technology
will be a key consideration for three-fourths of the drivers older than
50 who plan to buy a car in the next two years, according to a recent
survey by auto insurer The Hartford and MIT AgeLab.
In an
indication that priorities are shifting, only one-third of the surveyed
50-and-older drivers who bought a car during the past two years focused
on safety technology.
The push to engineer self-driving
cars has helped heighten awareness about the role technology can play in
eliminating the human error that causes most accidents.
Google,
now part of Alphabet Inc., ignited the self-driving car research seven
years ago when it began working on autonomous vehicles in a secret
laboratory.
Now, most automakers and other major
technology companies, including Apple and Uber, are also working on
self-driving technology, though there is still wide disagreement over
when robotic chauffeurs will be ready — and legally cleared — to assume
sole responsibility for navigating public roads.
Google
aims to have its fully autonomous vehicles cruising around by 2020. That
objective is considered too ambitious by many auto industry executives
and experts who believe self-driving cars are a decade or more away from
becoming a reality.
In the meantime, plenty of other technology should be widely available for older drivers.
Earlier
this year, the auto industry vowed to make automated emergency brakes a
standard feature by September 2022, but it won't be that long before
the technology is widely available. Toyota plans to build it into most
models, including its Lexus brand, by the end of next year.
Cameras
on a dashboard screen that show what's behind the car have become
commonplace in recent years and will be mandatory on all new cars by May
2018. The equipment is expected to be especially helpful for older
drivers with a limited range of motion.
Other technology
expected to assist older drivers includes automated parking, and
adaptive headlights that swivel in the same direction as the steering
wheel and adjust the beams' intensity depending on driving conditions
and oncoming traffic.
Robotic systems that temporarily
assist with highway driving already are available, most notably in Tesla
Motors' high end Model S.
The electric-car maker
released its Autopilot feature last fall, prompting some Model S owners
to entrust more of the driving to the robot than Tesla recommends while
the system is still in testing mode. For instance, some drivers have
posted pictures of themselves reading a newspaper or book with the Model
S on Autopilot, or even sitting in the back seat.
In
May, an Ohio man was killed when a Model S in Autopilot mode crashed
into the side of a tractor-trailer while traveling 9 mph above the speed
limit on a highway near Gainesville, Florida. Federal investigators are
looking into the cause.
Highly publicized incidents like
that may make it more difficult to persuade older drivers to trust the
technology coming to their cars.
Older drivers also will
need help understanding its benefits and how to use it, says Dale Rife,
senior adviser to American Association of Retired Persons (AARP). To
help, AARP is planning to put more focus on car technology in its
37-year-old driver safety programs.
"This evolution is
going to accelerate in the next few years," Rife predicts, "but people
fear what they don't understand. And if they don't understand it, they
will just avoid it."
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